(WJBK) - With the Iowa caucuses set for this week, new polling data suggests that in the head to head between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton in Michigan, Ms. Clinton holds a slim three point lead which is within the margin of error.
The EPIC-MRA findings show the former Secretary of State at 43%, Donald Trump at 40% and 16% are undecided.
Diving into the cross-tabs, Ms Clinton wins by 10 points in Wayne, Oakland and Macomb Counties, but Mr. Trump wins by 6 points on the west side of the state and ten points in central Michigan. The two are tied in the Bay region.
The gender vote shows a split with Mr. Trump getting 43% of the male vote to her 41% and she beats him with female voters by a 7 point margin. However when you break the gender vote into age brackets, she leads him with men between the ages of 18-49 by 2 points while he takes the older male vote by 5 points. She leads with older women 46%-35% but it's only a four point margin with women under fifty.
The independent voters prefer Mr. Trump by 40%-32% but she beats him with independent women by four points while he holds a 19 point lead with independent men.
Based on income the billionaire business man does the best with those earning more than $100,000 a year but only by two point while she wins all other income categories by margins that are outside the margin of error.
Moderate voters prefer Ms. Clinton 52%-29% and he gets 65% of the conservative voters while she does better with her base securing 83% of the liberal vote here.
Mr.Trump has some challenges with African-American voters as only 6% favor him while she continues the traditional established by her husband by winning 86% of that vote. Whites favor Mr. Trump 45%-38% and the "other" category goes 43% for her and 36% for him.